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Monmouth Academy's Kaitlin Frost takes a shot over Mt. Abram's Vega Rollins during a Class D South semifinal Feb. 19 at the Augusta Civic Center. (Joe Phelan/Staff Photographer)

CLASS D GIRLS STATE FINAL

WHO: Penobscot Valley (16-5) vs. Mt. Abram (18-3)
WHEN: 2:35 p.m. Saturday
WHERE: Augusta Civic Center
TV/STREAMING: Maine Public Broadcasting Network

KEY PLAYERS: Penobscot Valley — Rylee Moulton, senior guard (13 points, 5 assists, 3.7 rebounds, 2.7 steals per game during the North regional); Brooklynn Raymond, junior guard (13 points, 5.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 3 steals); Lila Cummings, senior forward (12 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.3 assists). Mt. Abram — Jenna Osgood, senior guard (13.1 points, 6.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 3.3 steals per game); Abby McCarty, senior guard (10.2 points, 2.6 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 2.0 steals); Stella Peterson, sophomore guard (12.0 points, 2.9 steals, 2.4 assists, 4.8 rebounds); Vega Rollins, junior guard (3.7 steals); Autumn Emery, senior forward (5.5 points, 4.1 rebounds).

PENOBSCOT VALLEY WINS IF

• It keeps the momentum going. The Howlers are having one of the best runs of the postseason, not only slaying No. 1 Bangor Christian and No. 2 Machias in the North regional, but doing it by an average margin of 15.5 points. There’s no lack of confidence for the Howlers, who went undefeated on the way to a Class C title last year.

• It controls the transition game. Penobscot Valley is known for running up and down the court and giving itself plenty of offensive opportunities, regularly turning in scores of 70 or more points. If the Howlers control the tempo of the game, they could run Mt. Abram right out of the Augusta Civic Center.

• It shares the wealth. The Howlers have multiple standouts offensively, most notably Moulton, Raymond and Cummings. If Mt. Abram’s plan is to double-team one of those players, the other two are more than capable of handling the offensive load.

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MT. ABRAM WINS IF

• Defense is the deciding factor. The Roadrunners boast one of the best defenses in the Mountain Valley Conference, if not all of Class D. Rollins has been a standout with 3.7 steals per game.

• It slows the game down. The Howlers like to run. Mt. Abram can’t afford to get into a high-scoring game.

• It feeds off the crowd. Mt. Abram has had one of the best fan bases in Augusta the past few seasons. The Roadrunners will need another large and loud turnout to make Saturday’s game feel as much like a home game as possible.

Dave Dyer is in his second stint with the Kennebec Journal/Morning Sentinel. Dave was previously with the company from 2012-2015 and returned in late 2016. He spent most of 2016 doing freelance sports...

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